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mortdiggiddy
About me Swing and day trading is my game. I trade equities, futures, options, and FOREX. My opinions are based on technical analysis and reinforced by seasonality and statistics. Fundamentals play a role, but not the primary role in my trade ideas.
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FIND THE EDGE | https://t.me/mortdiggiddy
Markets Allocation
42 % forex 24 % commodities 7 % stocks 27 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
EURUSD 12% | 65 GBPUSD 7% | 39 USDJPY 7% | 36 XAUUSD 5% | 27
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Long $AMZN on wedge break
AMZN
, 240Long
AMZN: Long $AMZN on wedge break
Updated 

AMZN is breaking a multi week wedge today, just ahead of the Christmas season and finally rally into the year end. Target = 55 Day Highest close for over 7% gain, I believe by mid January before we get some overbought selloffs in the indices.

Get ready for the $SILVER move! $SLV
XAGUSD
, 240Long
XAGUSD: Get ready for the $SILVER move! $SLV
Updated 

The Q4 FOMC combined with mid December tax loss selling is a prime time to sneak your way back into the precious metals sector. It has been a great year for metals, and believe it or not the 4 month correction from August to December is perfectly normal and reasonable given history.

Long $NDX $NQ_F into the annual Black Friday trade
NQ1!
, 1DLong
NQ1!: Long $NDX $NQ_F into the annual Black Friday trade
Updated 

Nearly every year, and especially in election years, there is a seasonal rotation back into big box tech stocks in anticipation of the long weekend and Thanksgiving. I attribute a lot of this buying to the Black Friday spree where Americans dive into big deals online and in department stores. Nasdaq futures are shown above and the consolidation above the 21 Day...

Cup/Handle Long off Large Dark Pool Supports $QQQ $NDX
QQQ
, 60Long
QQQ: Cup/Handle Long off Large Dark Pool Supports $QQQ $NDX
Updated 

We have waited patiently for the OCT 9 gap to be filled. This may be the trigger area near the 61.8% fib level from the September high to low. The 12+ million QQQ dark pool level should show support.

Can we second selloff of the markets? History says YES
SPX
, 1DShort
SPX: Can we second selloff of the markets? History says YES
Updated 

After the extremely overbought selloff triggered by bubble FAANMG stocks, we may be in store for a second leg down after today's FOMC statement.

Is it time to start buying silver again? $SLV $GLD
XAGUSD
, 240Long
XAGUSD: Is it time to start buying silver again? $SLV $GLD
Updated 

Metals seem to holding recent support levels despite equities crashing from extreme overbought levels. If buyers choose to get back in here, the next target would be at the old JAN 2011 High level around 31.00.

Short $NDX $QQQ at historic overbought levels
NDX
, 1DShort
NDX: Short $NDX $QQQ at historic overbought levels
Updated 

Nasdaq reached a level of overbought not seen since 2000 and 1999 this week, against some regression channel resistance.

Possible 4:1 trade on #Nikkei to close out August $USDJPY
JPN225
, 240Long
JPN225: Possible 4:1 trade on #Nikkei to close out August $USDJPY
Updated 

I am seeing a potential big retracement move up in $USDJPY which is highly correlated to the Nikkei index. We have a head and shoulders pattern forming on the Month CAM R3 backtest. The measured move targets are shown.

$DXY Long back to March Lows
DXY
, 1DLong
DXY: $DXY Long back to March Lows
Updated 

I don't expect much out of this dollar rally. I went short EURUSD starting the next day after the FOMC statement and continued to short through Friday. When the dollar has big selloffs into an FOMC date, usually there is a rebound shortly after. I expect that we continue to drop into December after this backtest occurs. We seem to be repeating the 2008-2009 DXY...

Time is running out for Russell 2000! $IWM
US2000USD
, 60Long
US2000USD: Time is running out for Russell 2000! $IWM
Updated 

Russell 2000 still has a decent amount of momentum on the H1 and Day time frames, but it is decision time next week into the FOMC statement and press conference. It is time to decide if we obey election year seasonality (and get an emergency PUA extension next week likely) or fall into mid August. Please like this post 👍🏻 and give me a follow! PM for more...

Follow the dark pool money on $AMD to Glory!
AMD
, 60Long
AMD: Follow the dark pool money on $AMD to Glory!
Updated 

We have been steadily buying AMD for weeks as block after block of dark pool buy money pours in! Recent dark pool blocks imgur.com They have been buying hand over fist. Given the initial Head and Shoulders bottom from March, the near term target would be the 161.8% target from that structure's extension. Please like this post 👍🏻 and give me a follow! PM for...

Short $NFLX on Weekly Piercing Line Pattern
NFLX
, 1WShort
NFLX: Short $NFLX on Weekly Piercing Line Pattern

NFLX is going full ugly. This is one of the most reliable chart patterns.

30Y Bonds to repeat 10YR seasonality move? $TLT $DXY
ZB1!
, 60Long
ZB1!: 30Y Bonds to repeat 10YR seasonality move? $TLT $DXY
Updated 

On average for the last 10 years, on July 24 30Y bonds and 10Y bonds have a massive move to the upside. The best play would be to buy ZN or ZB futures contracts, or September call options on TLT.

Seasonal Long from June rotation into August $DJI $DIA
US30USD
, 1DLong
US30USD: Seasonal Long from June rotation into August $DJI $DIA
Updated 

The end of month rotation of June is upon us. On Friday June 26 we witnessed some very interesting rotations into small caps, cyclicals, and silver. If the virus news does not overwhelm the markets (big players control the news flow) then we have a good possibility of moving up toward the Independence Day holiday and beyond toward the next FOMC in July. The...

Seasonality Long from the June rotation into August $DJI $DIA
US30USD
, 1DLong
US30USD: Seasonality Long from the June rotation into August $DJI $DIA

The end of month rotation of June is upon us. On Friday June 26 we witnessed some very interesting rotations into small caps, cyclicals, and silver. If the virus news does not overwhelm the markets (big players control the news flow) then we have a good possibility of moving up toward the Independence Day holiday and beyond toward the next FOMC in July. The...

Short $QQQ $NAS100 Tech after blowoff growth/value top
NQ1!
, 60Short
NQ1!: Short $QQQ $NAS100 Tech after blowoff growth/value top
Updated 

NQ is plugging in a potential MAJOR top off multiple resistances and overbought conditions. Pay close attention to what comes next, it could get ugly fast. We could be forming an inner Head and Shoulders top, which will generate possibly another outer Head and Shoulders top.

Repeat $EURUSD $DXY 2009 Sequence Long
EURUSD
, 240Long
EURUSD: Repeat $EURUSD $DXY 2009 Sequence Long
Updated 

It seems very evident after the big market "reset" in March 2020 that we have had a complete buy back of all assets. The similarities to 2009 are uncanny across multiple asset classes.

Short $GBPUSD with Election Year Seasonality
GBPUSD
, 1DShort
GBPUSD: Short $GBPUSD with Election Year Seasonality
Updated 

On average during election years, the pound has a sharp selloff beginning around June 15 - June 20 during election years that lasts the remainder of the year. There has been plenty of volatility in currencies and equities this year because of the virus reset, and this volatility can continue to year end. The target shown is just a minimum target, however a...

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